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Friday, 26 July, 2024

Expected Index Extensions and Month End Rebalances for July

{US}{GB}{EU} Expected Index Extensions and Month End Rebalances for July

The UK should see a duration contraction of -0.04y this month, along with a monthly rebalance selling bonds/buying equities. The EU has a decent and above average duration extension +0.08y, countersignalled by a rebalance favouring sellings bonds/buying equities. The US has a decent but below average duration extension +0.07y, again countersignalled by a rebalance favouring sellings bonds/buying equities.
{US} UST Aggregate Index: +0.07y
• Duration extension for USTs, just below its past three June prints averaging +0.08y and its 12 month average +0.08y.
{GB} UKT Aggregate Index: -0.04y
• Negative duration change for UKT’s, well below its July average of the past three years (+0.17y), and its 12 month average (+0.07y). A total of £8.1bn in coupons were also paid.
{EU} EGB Aggregate Index: +0.08y
• Decent duration extension for EGBs this month, inline with its June average of +0.06y over last three years, and below its 12 month average +0.07y.

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