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Wednesday, 22 November, 2023

Roll Update – 30th Nov is first notice

{US} Roll Update – 30th Nov is first notice
All rolls at/close to their lows, makes decent rolling for shorts
US Ultra Long
-29.5/-29.25
at the lows, chunky roll yesterday
19% complete
We are neutral the WN calendar spread
100:98.24
{WNWN Comdty gip10}
30yr
-01.75/-01.5
also at its recent lows
24% complete
We are slightly bullish the US roll
100:100
{usus Comdty gip10}
10yr
-12.5/-12.25
tight range thus far not much movement
21% complete
We are slightly bullish the TY roll as positioning remains unchanged and the previous rolls richened in the last week of the roll month
100:99.6
{tyty Comdty gip10}
Ultra 10yr
-9.25/-9
22% complete
slightly bullish the UXY roll given the bullish risks from curve steepening and the cheapness of the UXY roll
100:99.7
{uxyuxy Comdty gip10}
5yr
-15.75/-15.5
20% complete
neutral FV calendar spread due to bullish risks from smaller net long asset manager positioning and curve steepening risks
106:100
{fvfv Comdty gip10}
The Desmond
-14/-13.875
20% complete
bullish the TU roll given the cheapness in the roll and possible curve steepening risks and decent roll delta
100:90
{tutu Comdty gip10}

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