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Wednesday, 20 September, 2023

Goldman Raises 12-Month Brent Oil Forecast to $100 From $93

Goldman Raises 12-Month Brent Oil Forecast to $100 From $93 (Bloomberg) — Bank now expects “modestly sharper inventory draws,” analysts including Daan Struyven and Callum Bruce say in Sept. 20 note. Significantly lower OPEC supply and higher demand to more than offset higher US production “Overall, we believe that OPEC will be able to sustain Brent in an $80-$105 range in 2024 by leveraging robust Asia-centric global demand growth (1.8m b/d) and by exercising its […] Read More

Tuesday, 19 September, 2023

China’s Slowdown Partly Why Rba Held Rates Steady

The Reserve Bank fears financial deterioration in China will batter the Australian economy as the OECD warns the Chinese government may have limited tools to counter the slowdown, which could act as a drag on growth globally. The Reserve Bank board considered raising interest rates by a quarter percentage point earlier this month due to the threat of inflation remaining too high for too long, but risks from China’s downturn and unknown effects of previous […] Read More

Monday, 18 September, 2023

ECB to tackle excess liquidity in next stage of inflation fight -sources – Reute

RANKFURT, Sept 18 (Reuters) – European Central Bank policymakers want to soon start discussing how to tackle the multi-trillion-euro pool of excess liquidity sloshing around banks, with raising reserve requirements a possible first move, six sources told Reuters. The debate, likely to start at the ECB’s next meeting in Athens on Oct. 26 ot at an autumn retreat for policymakers, marks a new phase in its fight against inflation. The central bank for the 20 […] Read More

Wednesday, 13 September, 2023

ECB’s crucial 2024 projection to put inflation above 3%, source says

ECB’s crucial 2024 projection to put inflation above 3%, source says – Reuters News Sentiment: Mostly Negative 12 Sep 2023 21:16:57 By Francesco Canepa FRANKFURT, Sept 12 (Reuters) – The European Central Bank expects inflation in the 20-nation euro zone to remain above 3% next year, bolstering the case for a tenth consecutive interest rate increase on Thursday, a source with direct knowledge of the discussion told Reuters on Tuesday. The ECB begins a two-day […] Read More

Wednesday, 06 September, 2023

ECB’s Knot Says Markets May Underestimate September Hike Chances

(Bloomberg) — Investors largely betting against a European Central Bank interest-rate increase next week are “maybe” underestimating the likelihood of it happening, according to Governing Council member Klaas Knot. Klaas Knot While a slowdown in the euro zone’s 20-nation economy is sure to damp demand, updated inflation projections won’t differ much from the last round in June, the Dutch central bank chief said. Whether such an outlook, which only just envisages price gains returning to […] Read More

Wednesday, 06 September, 2023

ECB’s Options Remain Open at Coming Meetings, Villeroy Says

(Bloomberg) — European Central Bank Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau said interest rates are near a peak, but declined to indicate if that means the institution should hike or hold next week. “I’m not going to say today what we will decide Sept. 14, all the more so because our options are open for this meeting as they are for following meetings,” the Bank of France Governor said on BFM Business. “But I’m […] Read More

Wednesday, 06 September, 2023

*ECB’S KNOT: FURTHER HIKE IS A POSSIBILITY BUT NOT A CERTAINTY

*ECB’S KNOT: FURTHER HIKE IS A POSSIBILITY BUT NOT A CERTAINTY *KNOT: ECB INFLATION OUTLOOK WON’T DIFFER MUCH FROM LAST QUARTER *KNOT: MARKETS ABSORBING BALANCE-SHEET SHRINKING `QUITE WELL’ *ECB GOVERNING COUNCIL MEMBER KNOT SPEAKS IN INTERVIEW *ECB’S KNOT: WOULD CAUTION AGAINST TOO MUCH PESSIMISM ON ECONOMY *KNOT: RELUCTANT NOW TO REVISIT GUIDANCE ON PEPP REINVESTMENTS *SNB 7 DAY DOLLAR REPO RATE AT 5.58% *KNOT: WOULDN’T BE HAPPY IF INFLATION ONLY REACHES 2% AFTER 2025 *ECB’S […] Read More

Friday, 25 August, 2023

Powell Remarks Friday at Jackson Hole (Full Text)

Powell Remarks Friday at Jackson Hole (Full Text) By Katia Dmitrieva (Bloomberg) — The following is a reformatted version of prepared remarks titled “Inflation: Progress and the Path Ahead” that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is delivering Friday at Jackson Hole: Good morning. At last year’s Jackson Hole symposium, I delivered a brief, direct message. My remarks this year will be a bit longer, but the message is the same: It is the Fed’s job […] Read More

Friday, 25 August, 2023

AFR: Hordes of investors ‘stuck’ in painfully over-valued assets

  No images? Click here   AFR: Hordes of investors ‘stuck’ in painfully over-valued assets An unusual period of excess liquidity has helped equities and risky assets, but it is now unwinding and adjustment will be painful. Christopher Joye, portfolio manager, Coolabah Capital Investments Over at the AFR I write there are big secular shifts in asset allocation under way as large institutional investors suddenly realise that they are massively overweight illiquid assets and equities. […] Read More

Thursday, 24 August, 2023

Are you ready for JH: A range of speakers tomorrow outside of the two big g

{US} are you ready for JH: A range of speakers tomorrow outside of the two big guns 2000 NY / 0100 UK US – Jackson Hole Agenda Released 1005 NY / 1505 UK US – Fed Speaker: Powell at Jackson Hole. Text yes 1100 NY / 1600 UK US – Fed Speaker: Harker with Bloomberg TV 1130 NY / 1630 UK US – Fed Speaker: Harker with Yahoo Finance Live 1130 NY / 1630 UK […] Read More

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