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Monday, 24 January, 2022

Terry McCrann – The year will finally and really get underway with two events th

Australian CPI data and US Fed Reserve decision will shake up the economic outlook this week Australian inflation data and the outcome of the Fed Reserve policy meeting in the US have the potential to dramatically shake up the economic outlook this week. Terry McCrann January 24, 2022 – 8:30PM The year will finally and really get underway with two events that straddle Australia Day. Tuesday, a day early precisely because of Australia Day, we […] Read More

Monday, 24 January, 2022

FOMC – Bank Views

FOMC – Bank Views This Wednesday FOMC rate decision at 19.00GMT/14.00ET. Presser at 19.30GMT/14.30ET JPM: JPM economists expect the FOMC will use the January meeting statement to signal the high likelihood of a rate hike at the subsequent meeting in mid-March. They also look for the Fed to continue to taper down asset purchases at the pace determined at the December meeting. There is a risk (perhaps one-in-four) that the Fed completely ceases purchasing assets […] Read More

Sunday, 23 January, 2022

(BN) Goldman Sees Risk Fed Will Tighten at Every Meeting From March

Sent from Bloomberg Professional for iPhone ——————————————————————————-This message may contain confidential or privileged information. If you are notthe intended recipient, please advise us immediately and delete this message.The unauthorised use, disclosure, distribution and/or copying of this e-mail orany information it contains is prohibited.This information is not, and should not be construed as, a recommendation,solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or related financialproducts. This information does not constitute investment advice, does notconstitute a personal recommendation and has been prepared without regard tothe individual financial circumstances, needs or objectives of persons whoreceive it. Goldman Sees Risk Fed Will Tighten at Every Meeting From March2022-01-23 07:16:44.193 GMT By Simon Kennedy (Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists saidthey see a risk the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policyat every policy meeting from March, a more aggressive approachthan the Wall Street bank currently anticipates. The Goldman Sachs economists led by Jan Hatzius said in aweekend report to clients that they currently expect interest-rate […] Read More

Friday, 21 January, 2022

AFR: Why equities could fall sharply

  AFR: Why equities could fall sharply ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ […] Read More

Thursday, 20 January, 2022

Terry McCrann All eyes on interest rates in 2022

{AU} Terry McCrann All eyes on interest rates in 2022 Outside of Covid the big talking point next year will be about whether interest rates go up, and if so how quickly and by how much? Ahead of its February meeting, the RBA will get the December quarter inflation numbers. They will be ‘interesting’. But it won’t get the next wages numbers until later in February ahead of its March meeting. That’s when we will […] Read More

Wednesday, 19 January, 2022

Useful chart & text – Liquidity is shifting to SOFR

  From: Lorberg, Stuart <Stuart.Lorberg@cmegroup.com&gt; Sent: 19 January 2022 12:11Subject: Useful chart & text – Liquidity is shifting to SOFR   Good afternoon,   Plse see below – a useful ref to the pace at which ED Futures are transitioning to SOFR at present + a reference once again to the recently enhanced ED/SOFR Futures ICS at finer pricing – 0.001 bp.   All feedback welcome of course.   Stu         View […] Read More

Friday, 14 January, 2022

*AUSTRALIA CANCELS DJOKOVIC VISA: REPORTS

*AUSTRALIA CANCELS DJOKOVIC VISA: REPORTS Djokovic’s visa has been cancelled By Anthony Galloway Immigration Minister Alex Hawke has used his personal power to cancel Novak Djokovic’s visa, as his lawyers prepare to file an immediate injunction against the decision. The move has thrown the world tennis no.1’s quest for a 10th Australian Open into turmoil with the tournament to begin on Monday. If he doesn’t challenge the decision in the courts or is unsuccessful in […] Read More

Wednesday, 12 January, 2022

GUNDLACH….

GUNDLACH…. *Gundlach focused heavily on signals that the U.S. economy could be weakening, saying that “I do think recessionary pressure is building” and comparing the state of the U.S. economy to the inflationary period in the 1970s under President Jimmy Carter. Consumer sentiment has weakened and “given up the ghost,” and looks to be at a recessionary level, Gundlach said. *Gundlach went through several data points suggesting that he was right last year to predict […] Read More

Tuesday, 11 January, 2022

The Fed’s Doomsday Prophet Has a Dire Warning About Where We’re Headed

By CHRISTOPHER LEONARD 12/28/2021 04:30 AM EST Christopher Leonard is a business reporter whose work has appeared in The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, Fortune and Bloomberg Businessweek. He is the author of The Meat Racket and Kochland, which won the J. Anthony Lukas Work-in-Progress Award. His new book, The Lords of Easy Money: How the Federal Reserve Broke the American Economy, is out January 11. Thomas Hoenig doesn’t look like a rebel. He […] Read More

Tuesday, 14 December, 2021

FOMC – Bank Views

Street Views: BoA (Cabana, Axel): There will be 3 key points of focus at the Dec FOMC: (1) taper acceleration (2) SEP & dot plot, which will show a pull forward of hikes (3) balance sheet discussion & hints of QT. We expect the Fed to double the speed and reduce monthly TSY purchases by $20bn and MBS purchases by $10bn. The updated dot plot will likely reveal a pull forward in the dots, with […] Read More

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