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Sunday, 23 April, 2017

FRANCE: *** Timeline of key events in French………

FRANCE: *** Timeline of key events in French………   From: MNI FI Market Alert Sent: 23 April 2017 17:52:22 (UTC) Dublin, Edinburgh, Lisbon, London To: James Fay Subject: FRANCE: *** Timeline of key events in French……… FRANCE: *** Timeline of key events in French……… FRANCE: *** Timeline of key events in French Presidential Elections: – Apr 26 First round results – polls outside major cities close at 1700GMT; City polls close at 1800GMT. – Apr […] Read More

Sunday, 23 April, 2017

French election: Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen estim ated to be through to second round – live | World news | The Guardian

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/world/live/2017/apr/23/french-election-voting-under-way-in-first-round-live Archr LLP is Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA reference 617163). Archr LLP is not covered by the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS). Archr is registered in England and Wales No. OC371018. Registered office 115B Drysdale Street, Hoxton, London, United Kingdom, N1 6ND This message may contain confidential or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient, please advise us immediately and delete this message. The unauthorised use, disclosure, distribution […] Read More

Monday, 27 February, 2017

Pound Drops as May Reported to Brace for New Scottish Referendum

By Anooja Debnath and Netty Ismail (Bloomberg) — The pound fell against all its major peers after The Times reported that U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May’s team is preparing for Scotland to potentially call for an independence referendum. Sterling, which has been held hostage by politics since a Scottish referendum in 2014, fell as much as 0.6 percent after the newspaper cited unidentified government sources as saying May could agree to a new Scottish vote, […] Read More

Friday, 06 January, 2017

US BLS: Payrolls Mediocre But Wages Highest in 7 Yrs

      US BLS: Payrolls Mediocre But Wages Highest in 7 Yrs –Nov Trade Deficit Widens to $45.2 Bln By Denny Gulino and Kevin Kastner WASHINGTON (MNI) – Nonfarm payrolls came in Friday on the mediocre side in December, adding 153,000 and failing to meet expectations, but the over-the-year wage gains strength surprised, up the most since 2009. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the unemployment rate ticked up a tenth as expected, to […] Read More

Thursday, 05 January, 2017

Archr News Update

  GOLDMAN SACHS RAISES 10-YEAR U.S. TREASURY YIELD FORECAST TO 3.0 PCT BY END OF 2017 FROM 2.75 PCT     Ashley Joye Managing Partner T +44 (0)20 7422 2975 M +44 (0)7796 308 391 E ashley.joye@archr.com 49 Carnaby Street, London, W1F 9PY United Kingdom ARCHR.COM     Archr LLP is Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA reference 617163). Archr LLP is not covered by the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS). Archr […] Read More

Thursday, 05 January, 2017

Banks views for the year ahead- a summary

  2017 Year ahead outlooks BAML: Global Rates Outlook ( December 9): Rates- US duration to underperform: BAML maintains a bearish view on the belly of the US curve. From this perspective fiscal stimulus should clear the path for expectations of faster Fed hikes, giving the US 5y sector more room to underperform. Meanwhile the ECB did confirm their bullish bias in 5y and therefore expect EUR duration outperforming the US. The bank remains mildly […] Read More

Friday, 02 December, 2016

What street thinks of the Italian referendum?

Barclays (November 28): Considers market reactions for different scenarios 1) Referendum is rejected (“NO” outcome) with low turnout (below 40%) – Italian spreads open weak on Monday; however, they are likely to reverse the move quickly into the ECB meeting where a dovish tone is expected. Scenario 2 – Referendum is rejected (“NO” outcome) with high turnout (above 40%) – Italian spreads open weak on Monday, however, should reverse at least part of the move […] Read More

Thursday, 01 December, 2016

RTRS – Sources – ECB seeks compromise on asset buys as part of extension of programme

  01-Dec-2016 16:01 – LARGE MAJORITY OF ECB POLICYMAKERS FAVOUR EXTENDING QE BEYOND MARCH AT POLICY MEETING NEXT WEEK – CENTRAL BANKING SOURCES 01-Dec-2016 16:01 – ECB POLICYMAKERS ARE STUDYING SENDING SIGNAL ON EVENTUAL END OF ASSET BUYING, BUT NO TAPERING ANNOUNCEMENT COMING – SOURCES 01-Dec-2016 16:01 – ECB POLICYMAKERS SPLIT ON MONTHLY VOLUME OF EXTENDED PURCHASES WITH SEVERAL OPTIONS DISCUSSED IN COMMITTEES   EXCLUSIVE-ECB seeks compromise on asset buys as part of extension of […] Read More

Tuesday, 01 November, 2016

US Election

;widows: 2;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;word-spacing:0px”> While vote preferences have held essentially steady, she’s now a slim point behind Donald Trump — a first since May — in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates.   abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-leads-clinton-point-poll-enthusiasm-declines/story?id=43199459 Archr LLP is Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA reference 617163). Archr LLP is not covered by the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS). Archr is registered in England and Wales No. OC371018. Registered office […] Read More

Tuesday, 01 November, 2016

NYT ::: What Happens to the Markets if Donald Trump Wins?

;widows: 2;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;word-spacing:0px”> Some readers of this column will shudder at the thought and might even stop reading now. Others in the business world will beam, like Peter Thiel, the Silicon Valley entrepreneur. But what exactly happens the day after? To markets? To the economy? The conventional wisdom is that, right off the bat, the stock market would fall precipitously. Simon Johnson, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology economist, posited that Mr. Trump’s presidency would “likely cause the stock market […] Read More

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